The insider-outsider theory is one of the approaches with which the persistence of unemployment can be accounted for. The central hypothesis says that the insiders, in other words the 'job holders', drive the wage level above the market-clearing level, thus creating a barrier that prevents new...

The dates of U.S. business cycle are reported by NBER with a considerable delay, so an early notion of turning points is of particular interest. This paper proposes a novel sequential approach designed for timely signaling these turning points. A directional cumulated sum decision rule is...

Do generations growing up during recessions have different socio-economic beliefs than generations growing up in good times? We study the relationship between recessions and beliefs by matching macroeconomic shocks during early adulthood with self-reported answers from the General Social Survey....