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Das ifo Institut befragte im Auftrag der WirtschaftsWoche rund 600 Manager aus den Wirtschaftsbereichen Industrie, Bau, Handel und Dienstleistung nach ihren Einschätzungen der konjunkturellen Entwicklung im Jahr 2013 sowie zu ihren Investitions- und Beschäftigungsplänen für das neue Jahr....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693442
Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675
This paper examines the consequences of using "real-time" data for business cycle analysis in Germany based on a novel …. The consequences of using real-time data for inflation forecasts, the dynamic interaction of output gaps and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295638
The economic forecasts for Germany in the period 2001 to 2003 grossly missed reality. Forecasters estimated an average … Germany even shrank by 0.1 per cent. Forecasters tend to be generally optimistic. The analysis of the forecasts in the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262887
We analyze four economic sentiment indicators for the German economy regarding their ability to forecast economic activity. Using cross correlations and Granger causality tests we find that the ifo business expectations (ifo), the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297904
inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275391
activity but also raise risks of inflation. The major problem in Western Europe is unemployment, which remains stubbornly high … relatively steep fall of inflation in the United Kingdom was associated with a significant decline in unemployment. While total … investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at low levels. However, in most countries the bottom seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314066
In Deutschland ist die konjunkturelle Lage von großer Labilität geprägt, die Erholung nicht gefestigt. Trotz alledem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011732959