Showing 1 - 10 of 9,108
? The underlying idea is that unemployment hysteresis may operate through a sociological channel: if many people in the …This paper examines the existence of a habituation effect to unemployment: Do the unemployed suffer less from job loss … if unemployment is more widespread, if their own unemployment lasts longer and if unemployment is a recurrent experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601035
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our … standard limit distribution. The empirical results suggest that the US unemployment rate can be specified in terms of a … real interest rates). We also find evidence of a long-memory component. Our results are consistent with a hysteresis model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295392
The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273099
verdächtigt und schuldig gesprochen die tragische Entwicklung der Arbeitslosigkeit in Europa verursacht zu haben. US … Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … auch nicht die einzige- Ursache der mit jeder Rezession zunehmenden und auf hohen Niveau verweilenden Arbeitslosigkeit in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291094
enables hysteresis to be taken into account. Hysteresis is likely to show up in unemployment but it can also affect the … capital stock due to the existence of long investment cycles. In the proposed model, hysteresis may affect all the factor … be computed that are hysteresis-free and less prone to volatility. A complementary measure of the output gap that takes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506657
We introduce skill decay during unemployment into Blanchard and Gali's (2008) New-Keynesian model with hiring frictions … and real-wage rigidity. Plausible values of quarterly skill decay and real-wage rigidity turn the long-run marginal cost-unemployment … relationship positive in a "European" labour market with little hiring but not in a fluid "American" one. If the marginal cost-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506728
We develop a growth model with unemployment due to imperfections in the labor market. In this model, wage inertia and … equilibrium paths. Hysteresis is viewed as the result of a selection between these different equilibrium paths. We use this model … of the 1970?s may have played a central role in generating hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276428
transition rates. We focus on hysteresis effects of the durations and incidence of previous spells out of work. We estimate … flexible multi-state Mixed Proportional Hazard specifications for transition rates between employment, unemployment, and …' transition rates from unemployment to employment increase. Longer periods of non-employment generally decrease future transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277329
occupational unemployment. In almost all occupations, we find support for both the structuralist and the hysteresis hypotheses, but …This paper provides new evidence on the nature of occupational differences in unemployment dynamics, which is relevant … for the debate between the structural or hysteresis hypotheses. We develop a procedure that permits us to test for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268561
We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECDcountries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR … with an informative priorbased on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben-efits and labour taxes … so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324805