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The naturalization of asylum seekers is modeled as an economic problem. In choosing their level of investment in host-country-specific human capital, asylum seekers take into consideration the probability of their being naturalized. The government of the host country chooses the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271618
We propose a method to test a prediction of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, a predicted distribution is tested using a realization of the stochastic process. A test associates a set of realizations for each predicted distribution, on which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272320
The aim of the paper is to study empirically the influence of higher moments of the return distribution on conditional value at risk (CVaR). To be more exact, we attempt to reveal the extent to which the risk given by CVaR can be estimated when relying on the mean, standard deviation, skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275840
In this note we propose model selection criteria (MSC) for unconditional moment models using empirical likelihood (EL) statistics in the construction of the MSC The use of EL-statistics in lieu of the more common J-statistics leads to a much more transparent interpretation of the MSC by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293457
First and higher order digits in data sets of natural and socio-economic processes often follow a distribution called Benford's law. This phenomenon has been used in many business and scientific applications, especially in fraud detection for financial data. In this paper, we analyse whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295869
When calculating the cost of entering into a credit transaction the predominant stochastic component is the expected loss. Often in the credit business the one-year probability of default of the liable counterpart is the only reliable parameter. We use this probability to calculating the exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296616
A large market economy has a huge number of degrees of freedom with weak microlevel coordination. The 'implicit microfoundations' approach assumes this property of micro-level interactions more strongly conditions macro-level outcomes compared to the precise details of individual choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298577
A large market economy has a huge number of degrees of freedom with weak microlevel coordination. The 'implicit microfoundations' approach considers this property of micro-level interactions to more strongly determine macro-level outcomes compared to the precise details of individual choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298637
Earlier studies which applied the family of stable Paretian distributions to financial data are inconclusive and contradictory. In this article I estimate the parameters of the model by the Feuerverger-McDunnough method which enables the application of maximum likelihood rhethods. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299603