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This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
large economies, USA, United Kingdom, Germany, France and Japan. The empirical results show that although the pure NGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696419
follows. We find weak and shortlived return spillovers, in particular from the USA to Japan. Volatility spillovers are more …Financial market spillovers around the globeThis paper investigates the transmission of return and volatility … contribution from foreign markets is less pronounced in the case of returns than in the case of volatility. Possible gains in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334474
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean …(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable … Stochastic Volatility (SV)model. However, efficient Monte Carlo simulationmethods for SV models have been developed to overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324578
including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274513
including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274514
-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303750
correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276410
applicability of a multivariate constant conditional correlation version of the model to national stock market returns for eight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422185