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Deficits" discussion of the 1980s. In contrast, during the 1990s productivity growth has been identified as the primary cause … importance of budget deficits and productivity shocks for the determination of the current account. Using a sample of 21 OECD … current account, while country-specific productivity shocks appear to play a key role. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604555
This paper examines the statistical nature of the persistency of current account balances and its determinants. With the assumption that stationary current account series ensures the long-run budget constraint while countries may experience "local non-stationarity" in current account balances,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397237
In this paper, we take a systematic look at global imbalances. First, we provide a definition of the phenomenon, and relate global imbalances to widening external positions of systemically important economies that reflect distortions or entail risks for the global economy. Second, we provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606230
This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605197
) preference shocks (“savings glut” hypothesis), and (iii) investment shocks (“investment drought” hypothesis). In order to … imbalances and financial market prices. We find that savings shocks and investment shocks explain less of the variation. Hence, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604957
We estimate the relationship between investment and unemployment over the time period 1960-2015 in 20 OECD countries …. While neoclassical growth theory typically assumes full employment – with no effect of investment on unemployment – we find …: when investment fell, unemployment increased. When the time period is broken down into two sub-periods to take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306515
in the U.S. private sector affect economic performance - productivity, profitability, investment, and growth. Freeman and … investment and, subsequently, lower employment and productivity growth. There is little evidence that unionization leads to … Medoff are clearly correct that union productivity effects vary substantially across workplaces. Their conclusion that union …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261606
role of rising rates of investment. Because labor reallocation across sectors, TFP growth at the sector level and … investment are all inter-related, simple growth decompositions that are often used in the literature are not appropriate for … continues to absorb more than half of all fixed investment. If capital had been allocated efficiently, China could have achieved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269571
Rising current account and merchandise trade imbalances marked the years before the global financial and economic crisis. These imbalances either contributed to or precipitated the crisis and to the extent that they create systemic risks, it is desirable that they be reduced. There are many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326809
Global current account imbalances are one of the key macroeconomic imbalances that underlie the global financial crisis. The central objective of this paper is to analyze the causes and consequences of global imbalances from the perspective of developing Asia. More specifically, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507261