Showing 1 - 10 of 43
In this paper we integrate heterogeneous inflation expectations into a simple monetary model. Guided by empirical evidence we assume that boundedly rational agents, selecting between extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to predict the future inflation rate, prefer rules that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300843
It takes time to produce commodities, and different production technologies may take different lengths of time. Suppose that firms may switch between different production technologies that take different lengths of time. A natural implication of such a scenario is that not all firms would then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370789
We develop a nonlinear duopoly model in which the heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior of two boundedly rational firms may engender complex dynamics. Most importantly, we assume that the firms employ different forecasting models to predict the behavior of their opponent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014309902
We propose a simple agent-based version of Paul de Grauwe's chaotic exchange rate model. In particular, we assume that each speculator follows his own technical and fundamental trading rule. Moreover, a speculator's choice between these two trading philosophies depends on his individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420641
We explore the impact of fake news on asset price dynamics within the asset-pricing model of Brock and Hommes (1998). By polluting the information landscape, fake news interferes with agents' perception of the dividend process of the risky asset. Our analysis reveals that fake news decreases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014633267
We propose an empirically motivated financial market model in which speculators rely on trend-following, contrarian and fundamental trading rules to determine their orders. Speculators' probabilistic rule-selection behavior - the only type of randomness in our model - depends on past and future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023996
We develop a model in which investors can participate in stock, bond and housing markets. Investors' market entry decisions are subject to herding effects and depend on the markets' price trends and on their mispricings. The dynamics of our model is governed by a four-dimensional nonlinear map...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779505
We integrate a plausible expectation formation and learning scheme of boundedly rational investors into a standard user cost housing market model, involving a rental and a housing capital market. In particular, investors switch between heterogeneous expectation rules according to an evolutionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169108
We propose a simple agent-based computational model in which speculators' trading behavior may cause bubbles and crashes, excess volatility, serially uncorrelated returns, fat-tailed return distributions and volatility clustering, thereby replicating five important stylized facts of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261253
We develop a cobweb model in which firms, facing a two-period production delay, have access to a flexible (costly) and an inflexible (cheap) production technology. Moreover, firms select between production technologies depending on theirevolutionary fitness, measured in terms of past realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801537