Showing 1 - 10 of 59
This paper investigates the determinants of Norwegian import prices of manufactures over the period 1970(1) - 1991(4). Multivariate cointegration analysis establishes a long-run relationship between import prices, foreign prices, the exchange rate and domestic unit labour costs. Normalized on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967929
The paper models domestic output over imports in Norway's expenditure on manufactures. Using Johansen's (1988, 1991) method, we obtain a cointegrating vector between the output-imports ratio, relative prices and a proxy for international specialisation. This vector enters a conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968014
We estimate a range of New Keynesian import price models for Norway and the UK. Contrary to standard pass-through regression analysis, this approach allows us to make a distinction between the parameters in theoretical price-setting rules and parameters in the expectations mechanisms. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143680
Vi analyserer hvordan makroøkonomiske drivkrefter kan forklare utviklingen i konsumprisene siden 2001. Sammenhengene analyseres ved hjelp av empiriske modeller. Vi finner at prisene på norskproduserte varer og tjenester utenom husleie har fulgt utviklingen i kapasitetsutnyttingen og...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144066
Norges Banks regionale nettverk gir viktig informasjon om utviklingen i norsk økonomi. Vi viser at nettverkets tall for faktisk og forventet vekst i produksjon og sysselsetting gir gode anslag for produksjons- og sysselsettingsveksten i nasjonalregnskapet 1-2 kvartaler frem. Analysene tyder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144126
MOSES is an aggregate econometric model for Sweden, estimated on quarterly data, and intended for short-term forecasting and policy simulations. After a presentation of qualitative model properties, the econometric methodology is summarized. The model properties, within sample simulations, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320731
A framework for forecasting new COVID-19 cases jointly with hospital admissions and hospital beds with COVID-19 cases is presented. This project, dubbed CovidMod, produced 21-days ahead forecasts each working day from March 2021 to April 2022, and forecast errors that were used to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540890
In their work, Galí, Gertler and Lopez-Salido, GGL, assert that the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve (NPC) with dominance of forward-looking behavior and real marginal costs is robust to choices of estimation procedure, details of variables definitions and choice of data samples. In an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295261
Using a panel data set for OECD countries we replicate the typical features of the New Keynesian Phillips curve models (NPCs) that have been estimated on country data. While this corroborates the NPC also on the macro panel data set, a different conclusion is reached when we test whether the NPC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295320
This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is recognized as a successful forecast targeting central bank. It is reasonable to expect that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other forecasts, both 'naïve' forecasts, and forecasts from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304426