The behavior of the dollar/euro exchange rate is modeled using a monetary model of the exchange rate. The econometric analysis is complicated by the short sample span of actual euro data available for analysis. Hence, data on a synthetic euro are used. The assumptions underlying the monetary...

The paper uses a small open economy general-equilibrium model to compare fiscal and nom-inal exchange rate devaluation with respect to their impact on economic activity and the cur-rent account. In particular, it investigates to which extent fiscal devaluation mimics nominal exchange rate...

This paper investigates the predictive properties of import and export prices of commodities on the exchange rates. A period from 1993 to 2016 is considered. We _nd that forecasts of the exchange rate adding commodity export and import prices are superior to those neglecting these variables....

Die Rolle der Devisenmarktintervention im Chaotischen Dornbusch-Modell Modelle von De Grauwe und Dewachter (1992) und De Grauwe, Dewachter und Embrechts (1993), in denen der Wechselkurs im Rahmen des Dornbusch-Modells chaotischen Tendenzen unterliegen kann, zeigen, daß starke...

The study examines the causes of financial crises in 31 emerging market countries during 1980 2001.It estimates a probit model using 23 macroeconomic and financial sector variables.Traditional variables such as unemployment and inflation, as well as several indicators of indebtedness such as...

The UK has been a net debtor over the past two decades and the sterling exchange rates are sensitive to any chaos that might occur in the Financial market. This paper examines the importance of the inter-national financial imperfections in the sterling exchange rate dynamics. We build a small...

In this paper we evaluate the out of sample forecasting performance of a large number of models belonging to a popular class of exchange rate models. Forecasts of the Swedish nominal effective exchange rate for the period 1980-2000 are performed using both single equation estimation and VAR...

We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...

This paper quantifies the pass-through of a US dollar appreciation on trade variables and domestic financial conditions in a panel of 34 countries. Pass-through coefficients are highly shock-dependent: if the appreciation is driven by a US expansionary shock, the positive effects of stronger...

This study examines the Nigeria Naira to US Dollar (?/$) exchange rate determinants within the monetarist framework while accounting for potential asymmetric responses of the exchange rate to changes in money supply, real income, monetary policy rate, and inflation rate in Nigeria relative to...