The primary objective of the study is to examine the impact of political news (good and bad news) on the returns and volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main sample was divided into two subperiods to insulate the...

Evidences thrive on the effects of political regimes and presidential elections on stock market returns. This paper investigates the effects of presidential elections on stock returns around the election periods at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) market. A sample of five (5) months each for a...

This paper investigates persistence in high-frequency, intraday data (and also daily and monthly ones) in the case of the EuroStoxx 50 futures over the period from 2002 to 2018 (720 million trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results indicate...

This paper explores possibilities of using rolling regression CAPM on the Zagreb Stock Exchange in portfolio and risk management. Since original model has many flaws, one of them including the assumption of constant parameters in the model, extending the model with the assumption of changing...

This paper argues that the price-dividend ratio variability is explained in a large proportion by shocks affecting the subjective distribution of capital gain expectations: sentimental discount rate shocks affecting average beliefs explain at least 30% and disagreement shocks up to 20% of the...

Purpose - The last decades have experienced increasingly integrated global political and economic dynamics ranging especially from the influence of exchange rates and trade amid other sources of uncertainties. The purpose of this study is to examine the exchange rate dynamics of Brazil, Russia,...

This paper studies volatility spillovers in credit default swaps (CDS) between the corporate sectors and Latin American countries. Daily data from October 14, 2006, to August 23, 2021, are employed. Spillovers are computed both for the raw data and for filtered series which factor out the effect...

(Wie) Reagieren Aktien-Returns auf die Geldpolitik? Eine ARDL-Analyse für Deutschland Sind Zentralbanken in der Lage, Aktienmarktrenditen systematisch zu beeinflussen? Um diese Frage zu beantworten, testen wir die Kointegrationsbeziehung zwischen Renditemaßen für den Aktienmarkt und dem...

Dieser Beitrag untersucht die Eignung des von Gray (1996a, 1996b) vorgeschlagenen Generalized-Regime-Switching-(GRS-)Modells für die Modellierung und Prognose von Zinsvolatilitäten am Euro-DM-Markt. Im theoretischen Teil der Arbeit wird das GRS-Modell zunächst vorgestellt. Dabei zeigt sich,...

This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...