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This paper investigates the pricing bias in the Swedish OMX-Index Option market and how a stochastic volatility affects European call option prices. The market is purely European and without dividends for the period studied. A CIR square-root process for the volatility is estimated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208410
This paper addresses arbitrage-free FX smile construction from near-term implied volatility dynamics proposed by Carr (J Financ Econ, 120(1), 1–20, 2016). The approach is directly applicable to FX option market conventions. Prices of market benchmark contracts (risk reversals and butterflies)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015193597
Astonishingly little attention has been paid in academic literature to the 2008-2009 foreign exchange (FX) options debacle in Poland, the scale of which was unheard of. It affected not only an individual organization but a significant part of economy, being an example of a situation in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200919
By means of wavelet transform a time series can be decomposed into a time dependent sum of frequency components. As a result we are able to capture seasonalities with time-varying period and intensity, which nourishes the belief that incorporating the wavelet transform in existing forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300727
We present a multiscale analysis of the price dynamics of U.S. sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Our methodology features a multiscale noise-assisted approach, called the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD), that decomposes any financial time series into a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201148
In this paper, we establish a comparison between one of the most traded financial derivatives in the markets, the so-called catastrophe bonds (abbreviated as cat bonds) and the corporate bonds. In the first section, we start from a brief definition as well as some basic concepts. In section two,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494402
American call and put options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) over 1983-2006 are identified as potentially profitable investment opportunities. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266920
I document a sizeable bias that might arise when valuing out of the money American options via the Least Square Method proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). The key point of this algorithm is the regression-based estimate of the continuation value of an American option. If this regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200477
Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process xi with memory as, e.g., a Volterra equation driven by a Levy process. Moreover, the interest rate and a risk premium rho...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200543
We analyze the interaction between monetary policy in the US and the global economy proposing a new class of Bayesian global vector autoregressive models that accounts for time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-GVAR). We find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370122