Showing 1 - 10 of 18,373
processes, cointegration is a necessary condition both for consistent estimation of the parameters of the model and … compatibility between the model and the data. Tests find little support for cointegration and, together with an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321545
Based on the equilibrium correction structure of a cointegrated vector autoregression it is rejected that US monetary policy 1988-2002 can be described by a traditional Taylor (1993) rule. Instead we find a stable long-term relationship between the Federal funds rate, the unemployment rate, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321219
This paper studies the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bundesbank / European Central Bank (ECB) with respect to stock or/and foreign exchange markets from 1979 to 2009. I find that Fed policy changed over time, dependent on the chairman of the Fed. During the Greenspan era...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308139
We derive necessary and suffcient conditions for simple monetary policy rules that guarantee equilibrium determinacy in the New Keynesian monetary model. Our modeling framework is derived from a fully specified optimization model that is still amenable to analytical characterisation. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293494
I analyze how the introduction of financial frictions can affect the trade-off between output stabilization and inflation stability and whether, in the presence of financial frictions, the optimal outcome can be realized or approached more closely if monetary policy is allowed to react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299951
The performance of various monetary rules is investigated in an open economy with incomplete exchange rate pass-through. Implementing monetary policy through an exchange-rate augmented policy rule does not improve social welfare compared to using an optimized Taylor rule, irrespective of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281386
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281908
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical output developments across countries, we investigate the adequacy of the single monetary policy for each of the European Monetary Union (EMU) member countries. Notable differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264325
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264579
This paper analyses the monetary policy interdependence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) for the period 1999-2006. Two models are specified: a partial Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and a general VECM. In the partial VECM, we look for a long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264752