In this note we establish the existence of the first two moments of the asymptotic trace statistic, which appears as weak limit of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing the cointe- gration rank in a vector autoregressive model and whose moments may be used to develop panel cointegration...

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend in the data generating process. This new test is an extension of the likelihood ratio (LR) test of Saikkonen & Lütkepohl (2000) for trend-adjusted data to the panel...

Dieser Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit dem Einsatz von Onlinedaten bei der Prognose grundlegender makroökonomischer Indikatoren wie privatem Konsum und Konsumentenvertrauensindikatoren. Dabei werden aktuelle Veröffentlichungen zusammengefasst und neue Anwendungsmöglichkeiten von Onlinedaten...

This paper proposes a new likelihood-based panel cointegration rank test which extends the test of Orsal and Droge (2012) (henceforth Panel SL test) to allow for crosssectional dependence. The dependence is modelled by unobserved common factors which affect the variables in each cross-section...

This paper proposes two new panel cointegrating rank tests which are robust to cross-sectional dependency. The dependence in the data generating process is modeled using unobserved common factors. The new tests are based on a metaanalytic approach, in which the p-values of the individual...

This study investigates the impacts of trade with China on the gross domestic product (GDP) of the global South. While the current literature on the growth impacts of trade (by leading partner countries) often neglects the properties of macro panel data, such as cross-sectional dependence,...

The authors investigate how the Global South's gross domestic product (GDP) is impacted by trade with China. While the current literature on the growth impacts of trade (by leading partner countries) often neglects the properties of macro panel data, such as cross-sectional dependence,...

Survey-based consumer confidence indicators are mostly reported with a delay and are a result of time consuming and expensive consumer surveys. In this study, to measure the current consumer confidence in Germany, we develop an approach, in which we compute the consumer sentiment using public...

This paper proposes a new likelihood-based panel cointegration rank test which allows for a linear time trend with heterogeneous breaks and cross sectional dependence. It is based on a novel modification of the inverse normal method which combines the p-values of the individual likelihood-ratio...

This paper takes a multiple testing perspective on the problem of determining the cointegrating rank in macroeconometric panel data with cross-sectional dependence. The testing procedure for a common rank among the panel units is based on Simes' (1986) intersection test and requires only the...