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We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival times depending on the claims that arrive within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative structure. The main inspiration of the model comes from the bonus-malus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709558
Broken-heart syndrome is the most common form of short-term dependence, inducing a temporary increase in an individual' force of mortality upon the occurrence of extreme events, such as the loss of a spouse. Socioeconomic influences on bereavement processes allow for suggestion of variability in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200552
The crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness for handling the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a first quarter chronicle of COVID-19 in Hubei China, Italy and Spain, particularly focusing on infection speed, death and fatality rates. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200648
In micro-lending markets, lack of recorded credit history is a significant impediment to assessing individual borrowers' creditworthiness and therefore deciding fair interest rates. This research compares various machine learning algorithms on real micro-lending data to test their efficacy at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200719
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200803
In this paper, we generate boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim arrivals, and a hypoexponential claims scenario, Erlang (2) claim sizes. Applying the approximation theory of solutions of linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200821
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees the process as negative, where the observation rate may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421265
Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of results pertaining to the joint asymptotic Laplace...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421282
We consider the Sparre Andersen risk process with interclaim times that belong to the class of distributions with rational Laplace transform. We construct error bounds for the ruin probability based on the Pollaczek-Khintchine formula, and develop an efficient algorithm to approximate the ruin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200522
In the mandatory health insurance market in Switzerland, a range of insurers offer policies that differ in characteristics like premium and service level while benefits are the same and regulated by law. In this paper, we give an overview of the market and analyse the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200532