In observational studies, the estimation of a treatment effect on an outcome of interest is often done by controlling on a set of pre-treatment characteristics (covariates). This yields an unbiased estimator of the treatment effect when the assumption of unconfoundedness holds, that is, there...

An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the degree of non-linearity of the instruments comprised in the portfolio and thewillingness to make restrictive assumptions on the underlying statistical distributions, a...

Mean reversion, stochastic volatility, convenience yield and presence of jump clustering are well documented salient features of commodity markets, where Asian options are very popular. We propose a model which takes into account all these stylized features. We first state our model under the...

This paper proposes a new framework that enhances traditional risk assessment by incorporating higher-order statistical moments—specifically skewness and kurtosis—through the Cornish-Fisher expansion. Standard risk models, which rely primarily on mean and variance, often underestimate the...

The purpose of this paper is to forecast housing prices in Ankara, Turkey using the artificial neural networks (ANN) approach. The data set was collected from one of the biggest real estate web pages during April 2013. A three-layer (input layer - one hidden layer - output layer) neural network...

In the last few decades, the study of ordinal data in which the variable of interest is not exactly observed but only known to be in a specific ordinal category has become important. In Psychometrics such variables are analysed under the heading of item response models (IRM). In Econometrics,...

The objective of this study is to evaluate the costs and benefits of different demand risk sharing rules for road infrastructure concessions, from the point of view of the economic attractiveness of the projects for the concessionaire and the price reduction for users. The traffic trajectory of...

Permutation techniques, where one recompute the test statistic over permutations of data, have a long history in statistics and have become increasingly useful as the availability of computational power has increased. Until now, no permutation tests for examining returns to scale assumptions,...

We compute confidence intervals for recursive impact factors, that take into account that some citations are more prestigious than others, as well as for the associated ranks of journals, applying the methods to the population of economics journals. The Quarterly Journal of Economics is clearly...