We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternative linear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regime switching...

We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...

With the maturity of the franchise system, franchisors have to look for new markets to capitalize constantly. This continuing expansion comes at the expense of the existing franchise establishments, as it could lead to territorial encroachment. One possible solution to mitigate this problem is...

Over the last years, the banking sector in Vietnam has been going through the restructuring period, in order to cope with non-performing loans and build up mergers and acquisitions. This paper applies the non-parametric method proposed by Bogetoft and Wang in 2005 to evaluate the bank merger...

The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...

This paper examines the nature of the correlation between (real) equity and bond returns for the G7 markets. From the standpoint of established finance theory, we would expect a positive returns correlation, however, evidence has been presented to suggest that a negative correlation occurs over...

The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...

The nature of the relation between stock returns and the three monetary variables of interest rates (bond yields), inflation and money supply growth, while oft studied, is one that remains unclear. We argue that the nature of the relation changes over time, and this variation is largely driven...

Based on the present value model for stock prices, we utilise a pooled mean group estimator for panel ARDL cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We find a positive long-run relation between stock prices,...