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the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, I show how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden stops. In … debt is more attractive. Therefore, conditional on the amount that lenders are willing to loan, decreased exposure to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397715
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in … problem that trade is endogenous. Using the gravity instrument for trade openness, which is constructed from geographical … determinants of bilateral trade, this paper finds that openness indeed makes countries less vulnerable, both to severe sudden stops …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278282
study estimates theoretically founded trade balance reaction functions for a panel of seventy countries from 1970-2004. The … empirical analysis finds that adjustment in integrated economies is slower. Consistent with the presented theory the trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316759
We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316919
On February 12, 2010, SUERF, the Oesterreichische Nationalbank and the Bankwissenschaftliche Gesellschaft continued their established tradition of jointly organised conferences. As evidenced also by the 115 conference participants, this year's subject of "Contagion and Spillovers – New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689946
The sharp increase in both gross and net international capital flows over the past two decades has prompted renewed interest in their determinants. Most existing theories of international capital flows are based on one-asset models, which have implications only for net capital flows, not for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283297
This paper uses a dynamic general equilibrium two-country optimizing model to analyze the consequences of international capital mobility for the effectiveness of monetary policy in open economies. The model shows that the substitutability of goods produced in different countries plays a central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260511
This paper uses a dynamic general equilibrium two-country optimizing model to analyze the consequences of international capital mobility for the effects of monetary policy in open economies. The model shows that the difference between the short-run output effects of monetary policy shocks in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260547
During the last two decades, the degree of openness of national financial systems has increased substantially. At the same time, asymmetries in information and other financial market frictions have remain prevalent. We study both empirically and theoretically the implications of the opening up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260621
This paper discusses the difference between Fisherian and Ricardian trade in terms of a simple two-period model of a … small open economy. Fisherian or intertemporal trade occurs when goods are traded today against the promise to deliver goods … in the future. The resulting net resource transfer is equal to an international flow of capital. Ricardian trade occurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275416