This paper analyzes which factors are driving the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Using the results of a poll …-of-sample forecasts for the ZEW Indicator. We find that a simple model that includes German manufacturing order data, the German yield … model as well as the consensus forecast for the ZEW Indicator as published by news agencies. …

leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this … forecasting performance of the leading indicators for both countries revealing marked differences between Russia and Germany. …

In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir die Eignung der ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und der ZEW … Umfragen unter Finanzanalysten basierenden ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen einen signifikanten einmonatigen Vorlauf vor den ifo …-Geschäftserwartungen haben. Wir führen dies auf unterschiedliche Erwartungsbildungen der beiden Gruppen zurück. Die ZEW …

-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a data-poor environment at the sub-national level by including more than …

The economic forecasts for Germany in the period 2001 to 2003 grossly missed reality. Forecasters estimated an average … Germany even shrank by 0.1 per cent. Forecasters tend to be generally optimistic. The analysis of the forecasts in the years …

The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six …Der Beitrag untersucht die Ursachen von Fehlern der Konjunkturprognose der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose der … Arbeitsgemeinschaft wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute in Deutschland. Die Prognosefehler werden im Rahmen eines …