This paper aims to test the conjecture advanced in a recent work by Bianchi and Menegatti (2007) that usual !convergence panel regressions may produce biased evidence, due to their inability to distinguish between actual catching-up across countries and decreasing growth rates over time within...

This paper purports to apply the Kydland-Prescott framework of dynamic inconsistency to the case of fiscal policy, by considering the trade-off between output and debt stabilization. The Government budget constraint provides the link between debt dynamics and the level of activity, influenced by...

This paper tests for the existence of neoclassical and/or technological catching up between the Italian regions in the last three decades. The tests are performed by means of a modified b-convergence equation and of a model based on the decomposition of output growth. The results imply that...

Il lavoro esamina la relazione fra disuguaglianza e crescita nelle regioni italiane nel periodo 1990-2003. I risultati ottenuti confermano, in primo luogo, la congettura formulata dalla teoria economica più recente per cui una maggiore disuguaglianza nella distribuzione personale dei redditi...

We show that the use of pooled and panel data in estimating convergence across countries (or other territorial areas) may involve some pitfalls since this type of data cannot properly distinguish between actual convergence and the possibility of decreasing growth rates over time within each...

This paper purports to apply the balance of payments constrainedgrowth model to explain the European growth performance in the last forty years and to discuss the likely prospects for the future. After a formal reconsideration of the long-run and short-run arguments supporting the validity of...

World economies, and especially European ones, have become strongly interconnected in the last decades and a joint modelling is required. We propose here the use of Copulas to build flexible multivariate distributions, since they allow for a rich dependence structure and more flexible marginal...

Convegno in onore di Giorgio Lunghini

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component analysis is first used to summarize the...

Copula-GARCH models have been recently proposed in the financial literature as a statistical tool to build flexible multivariate distributions. Our extensive simulation studies investigate the small sample properties of these models and examine how misspecification in the marginals may affect...