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.S. (i.e., forward-looking monetary policy), but not in Japan. The central banks in both countries react sharply to demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277802
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695885
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695894
the Canadian economy. We focus on several sources of shocks, including commodity prices, foreign economic activity, and … comprehensive picture of the effect of international shocks on the Canadian economy. Our findings indicate that Canada is primarily … prices impact the Canadian economy: Canada benefits from higher commodity prices through a positive terms of trade shock, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279885
aggregate the firm level information into a single indicator that signals in which periods the German economy was in a supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274918
discussed in the literature. In addition, one should also consider whether the economy is in an upswing or a downswing. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261205
We propose the method of eigenvalue filtering as a new tool to extract time series subcomponents (such as business-cycle or irregular) defined by properties of the underlying eigenvalues. We logically extend the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of the VAR time-series models focusing on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604595
This paper represents a first attempt to study China’s business cycles using a formal analytical framework, namely, a structural VAR model. It is found that: (a) demand shocks were the dominant source of macroeconomic fluctuations, but supply shocks had gained more importance over time; (b) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284541
Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286842
This paper is a comprehensive analysis of Hungary's potential output. Since the concept of potential output is not unique, we present various interpretations of potential GDP, along with a large set of techniques for estimating it. Various estimates are presented and robustness analyses are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322392