Showing 1 - 10 of 33
Intuitive decision making has a large and often negative impact in economic decisions, but its measurement and quantification remains challenging. Following research from psychology, behavioral economists have often attempted to causally manipulate the balance of intuition and deliberation by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253771
Decision makers often prefer safe wins over risky gambles, even if the latter promise higher payoffs than the former. One mechanism that explains this choice pattern is the certainty effect, whereby probabilities of 0 and 1 are interpreted accurately but intermediate probabilities are distorted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015100878
Dual-process theories view decisions as the result of the interaction of two qualitatively different types of processes, automatic/impulsive and controlled/deliberative. This paper considers a model of self-control where each decision can be taken by either an automatic process or a deliberative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329527
Surveys and opinion polls are essential instruments to elicit societal preferences and uncover differences between socioeconomic or demographic groups. However, survey data is noisy, and survey bias is ubiquitous, limiting the reliability and usefulness of standard analyses. We provide a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470081
When choice is stochastic, revealed preference analysis often relies on random utility models. However, it is impossible to infer preferenceswithout assumptions on the distribution of utility noise. We show that this difficulty can be overcome by using response time data. A simple condition on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013502141
Transitivity is perhaps the most fundamental choice axiom and, therefore, almost all economic models assume that preferences are transitive. The empirical literature has regularly documented violations of transitivity, but these violations pose little problem as long as they are simply a result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013531822
We study competition among market designers who create new trading platforms, when boundedly rational traders learn to select among them. We ask whether efficient platforms, leading to market - clearing trading outcomes, will dominate the market in the long run. If several market designers are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264141
This paper extends the job market signaling model of Spence (1973) by allowing firms to learn the ability of their employees over time. Contrary to the model without employer learning, we find that the Intuitive Criterion does not always select a unique separating equilibrium. When the Intuitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268897
The traditional model of sequential decision making, for instance, in extensive form games, is a tree. Most texts define a tree as a connected directed graph without loops and a distinguished node, called the root. But an abstract graph is not a domain for decision theory. Decision theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292783
Over the last fifty years, game theory has evolved from a mathematical theory of optimal behaviour in stylized situations ('games') to a general theory of human behaviour, be it actually observed or normatively desirable. Its scope includes both the mathematical modelling and analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369423