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an approach to model spot prices that combines mean-reversion, spikes and stochastic volatility. Thereby we use different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305714
This study attempts to examine the price discovery process and volatility spillovers in Gold futures and spot markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310237
The unparalleled surge of the crude oil price after 2003 has triggered a heated scientific and public debate about its ultimate causes. Unexpected demand growth particularly from emerging economies appears to be the most prominently supported reason among academics. We study the price dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753232
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
the commodity futures price. The significance and form of volatility spill-over effects of a bilateral exchange rate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
rates at a given future date triggers a reduction in exchange rate volatility during the interim period. Using a Markov …-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility processes of four EMU exchange rate returns vis-?-vis the German mark using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295594
may be generalized, if we use alternative measures of volatility. We choose one feasible alternative and derive a … generalized volatility model. Applying this model to some exemplary market indices, we are able to give some empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299748
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock price indexes. Forecasts produced by each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
observed that the volatility shocks are quite persistent and take a long time to die out. September 11, 2001incident and … thereafter war on terror has increased the conditional volatility of foreign direct investment and has statistically significant … volatility. One interesting finding of this study is that the impact of Non-Democratic regime before September, 11 scenario is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938300