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We investigate the impact of the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcements on the level and volatility of the EUR-US Dollar exchange rate employing an AR-FIGARCH specification. Using high-frequency data we estimate the individual and complementary effects of the release of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277736
Overall, the ECB managed monetary policy quite satisfactory in the first phase of EMU. Nevertheless, this paper asks whether monetary policy could not have been improved. In the last three years, Euroland was confronted with the first external shock. Oil prices increased considerably, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435104
We know that euro-area member countries have absorbed asymmetric shocks in ways that are inconsistent with a common … estimates of the euro effect on trade based on misalignment. This reveals asymmetric trade effects and heterogeneous outlooks … across countries for the costs and benefits from adopting the euro. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300380
Which have been the consequences of the euro for integration and economic performance in the Baltic Sea region? After …: the Polish zloty depreciated in the critical moment of the crisis, while currency boards with the aim of joining the euro … in trade, and the share of the Eurozone in Baltic trade has stagnated. A comparison with other countries in the Baltic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015419540
On January 1,1999 euro became the currency for 11 member states of the European Union. Since then the dollar-euro … exchange rate has completed a full turning. Three years of depreciation of the euro followed by three years of appreciation … without wild fluctuations asks for an explanation which would adequately account for the position of the euro as an emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295454
We analyze the performance of Bayesian model averaged exchange rate forecasts for euro/US dollar, euro/Japanese yen …, euro/Swiss franc and euro/British pound rates using weights based on the out-of-sample predictive likelihood. The paper … predictions of euro exchange rates leads to improvements in predictive accuracy as measured by the mean square forecast error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293409
setting is used to estimate the intra-day trend in the Euro/U.S. Dollar exchange rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326060
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
between exchange rates and prices, showing that there is at most a moderate decline in exchange rate pass-through for the euro … of euro area exports to exchange rate changes may have declined somewhat as a result of globalisation, reflecting mainly … exchange rates on GDP and the potential role of valuation effects as a transmission channel in the case of the euro area. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606246
) indicators of the euro. This framework yields two sets of indicators - (i) one nominal and several real EER indices against a … narrow reference group of euro area trading partners based on different price and cost deflators; and (ii) a nominal and a … industrial and newly industrialised euro area partner countries, while the broad group is made up of 38 trading partners …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606154