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This paper investigates the structure of bilateral oligopolies - a simple version of Shapley Shubik games with two types of traders and two commodities. It shows that interior equilibria exist, studies the example of CES utility functions to uncover the relation between the complementarity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608523
pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE … react in a timely fashion to changes in the environment, leading to real-time forecast improvements relative to other … methods of density forecast combination, such as Bayesian model averaging, optimal (static) pools, and equal weights. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
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It is systemic to expound how that the speculative behaviors are driven by the number of a series housing policies promulgated by China's government for the real estate market. The market is resulted in full of speculative behaviors, and has been booming since the beginning of this decade, even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286822
The causes of the Great Recession lie in misguided government policy, not in the underlying workings of the market.Executive Summary:For many, the Great Recession and the boom that preceded it are evidence of the failure of the supposed deregulation of financial markets in the last decade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015334117
This paper is written in the style of a report from the future (the year 2035), or more precisely, from a possible future, in which Britain has successfully solved its housing crisis. Looking 'back', it tells the story of how this happened, and what the consequences were. It starts with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015334121
In this paper we develop a small open economy model explaining the joint determination of output, inflation, interest rates, unemployment and the exchange rate in a multi-country framework. Our model - the Halle Economic Projection Model (HEPM) - is closely related to studies recently published...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271586
This paper examines the corporation tax forecasting techniques used by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. For current … year forecasts a judgemental forecast is found to have performed better than relying solely on a simple model or … information on the receipts available so far in the current financial year. For longer time horizons the judgemental forecast has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293091