Showing 1 - 10 of 5,249
We consider a nonparametric test for the null of seasonal unit roots in quarterly time series that builds on the RUR (records unit root) test by Aparicio, Escribano, and Sipols. We find that the test concept is more promising than a formalization of visual aids such as plots by quarter. In order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294023
The study investigates the stock market efficiency of selected OPEC member countries within the context of random walk hypothesis and volatility approaches using monthly data on stock market indices from January, 2005 to April, 2016. Parametric (variance ratio: homoskedastic and heteroskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229197
with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that deterministic seasonality is an accurate model for the DJIA index but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776704
smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically time-varying and evolve in real time. We provide the associated …-tailed noise. A study of exchange rate returns sampled from 2010 to 2013 suggests that failing to factor in the seasonality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755303
Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Many of those series are seasonal and thus in need for seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342596
Currently, the methods used by producers of official statistics do not facilitate the seasonal and calendar adjustment of daily time series, even though an increasing number of series with daily observations are available. The aim of this paper is the development of a procedure to estimate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917542
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the sequential empirical process and the sequential empirical copula process, both constructed from residuals of multivariate stochastic volatility models. Applications for the detection of structural changes and specification tests of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755366
The proper forecasting of listed companies' earnings is crucial for their appropriate pricing. This paper compares forecast errors of different univariate time-series models applied for the earnings per share (EPS) data for Polish companies from the period between the last financial crisis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015330032
We consider the estimation and inference in a system of high-dimensional regression equations allowing for temporal and cross-sectional dependency in covariates and error processes, covering rather general forms of weak dependence. A sequence of large-scale regressions with LASSO is applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011941488
In many, if not most, econometric applications, it is impossible to estimate consistently the elements of the white-noise process or processes that underlie the DGP. A common example is a regression model with heteroskedastic and/or autocorrelated disturbances,where the heteroskedasticity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739586