Showing 1 - 10 of 12,265
not a domain for decision theory. Decision theory perceives of acts as functions from states to consequences. Sequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292783
Fisher [2000, this journal] offers a unifying framework for two concepts of (quasi-) option value suggested by Arrow, Fisher, Hanemann, and Henry (AFHH) on the one hand, and by Dixit and Pindyck (DP) on the other, and claims these two concepts to be equivalent. We show that this claim is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296316
In criminal cases the task of the judge is to transform the uncertainty about the facts into the certainty of the verdict. In this experiment we examine the relationship between evidence of which the strength is known, subjective probability of guilt and verdict for abstract cases. We look at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325809
are asymptotically equivalent. We illustrate the implications of this new theory with a simple simulation, an application …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476354
We introduce the concept of a TUU-game, a transferable utility game with uncertainty. In a TUU-game there is uncertainty regarding the payoffs of coalitions. One out of a finite number of states of nature materializes and conditional on the state, the players are involved in a particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494469
The aim of this paper is to understand what a recession means for individual consumers, and to model in a life-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in the current and recent recessions. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
Fiktion notwendig ist, aber eine Fiktion bleibt. Aber was heisst es für die (ökonomische) Theorie der Zukunftsentscheidungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381300
Environmental policy often has to be devised under informational constraints, like uncertainty and asymmetric information. We consider an environmental policy that aims at reducing the welfare losses caused by asymmetric information while being sufficiently simple for implementation. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390636
The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced. Neo-additive capacities model optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty as observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities can be applied easily in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422102