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This paper examines asymmetries in the J-curve effects of real exchange rate on Kenya's trade balance by using panel data for bilateral trade with 30 trading partners. The data covers the period from 2006q1 to 2018q4 and the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation technique, under both the linear and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547742
The Brussels Effect, once emblematic of the EU's alleged influence in shaping global regulations, has now become a factor contributing to global regulatory fragmentation. The EU must recalibrate its trajectory towards a liberal and rules-based trading order, prioritizing widespread regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560198
The economies of Central and Eastern Europe are undergoing a period of rapid structural change. The general pattern confirms to the J-curve anticipated by several observers at the start of transition. This paper conceptualises the J-curve as the result of a combination of two factors. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275453
Almost all countries face the problems of trade balance, although they are more inherent in developing countries and economies in transition. A majority of economists adheres to a common opinion real depreciation may lead to an improvement of the trade balance. That said, countries encountering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860055
This study examined the short-run and long-run effects of real exchange rate changes on the Nigeria's trade balance. The paper employed both linear and non-linear ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration to test for the J-curve phenomenon in Nigeria using quarterly data spanning the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362908
About twenty years ago, an article by van der Ploeg analysed the implications of the J-curve effect for the political business cycle in a small open economy [van der Ploeg (1989c)]. It was them shown that a sudden jump on the exchange rates in the election day should be observed if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011500008
This paper empirically investigates the impact of change in exchange rate on export and import flows between Slovakia and its major trading partners. Devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it, resulting in a J-curve pattern. For the purpose of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512944
notion of free-economy and free-trade policy these are very common around the world. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458099
Purpose - In this paper we examine the validity of the J-curve hypothesis in four Southeast Asian economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand) over the 1980-2017 period. Design/methodology/approach - We employ the linear autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) model that captures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394538
This study examines the impact of exchange rate on trade flow in Nigeria from 1986 to 2021. The study utilises linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL and NARDL) models to test the J-Curve hypothesis and the Marshall-Lerner condition in Nigeria. The study found symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015127128