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investigate the volatility smile derived from liquid call and put options on the Polish WIG20 index which option series expired on … volatilities for moneyness points needed were calculated, then we construct 355 smile curves for calls and puts options to study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984997
procedure. I parameterize the underlying exchange rate process as a mixture of log-normals, price the options using Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334336
, predictable, and options appear calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in all three markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290353
Recent developments allow a nonparametric separation of the continuous sample path component and the jump component of realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting for this allows improved forecasting of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
financial crisis. To this end, we derive risk-neutral densities from the implied volatilities of FX options, which approximate …-of-sample predictive power of indicators. The forecasting results suggest that models based on FX options are inferior to the random walk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322178
strategies are also investigated, allowing for limited short selling and the inclusion of synthetic options in the security set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208416
We develop a novel filtering and estimation procedure for parametric option pricing models driven by general affine jump-diffusions. Our procedure is based on the comparison between an option-implied, model-free representation of the conditional log-characteristic function and the model-implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014321750
The Enron Corporation went from a $65 billion dollar market capitalization to bankruptcy in just 16 months. Using statistical techniques for extracting the implied probability distributions built into option prices, I examine the market's expectation of Enron's risk of collapse. I find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318377
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267377
, with evidence from listed firms in Taiwan, pricing options on stocks denominated in different currencies, with theory and … simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single … stock futures, the non-uniform pricing effect of employee stock options using quantile regression, nonlinear dynamics and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326212