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) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … effects of equal magnitude, EGARCH can also accommodate leverage, which is the negative correlation between returns shocks and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377212
confusion in the literature between asymmetry and leverage, as well as which asymmetric models are purported to be able to … models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as in capturing asymmetry, which is the different … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and purportedly in capturing leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421299
) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … effects of equal magnitude, EGARCH can also accommodate leverage, which is the negative correlation between returns shocks and … derivatives, and hence does not permit (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimation. It is shown in this paper for the non-leverage case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421302
) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … effects of equal magnitude, and leverage, which refers to the negative correlation between the returns shocks and subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491325
between asymmetry and leverage, as well as which asymmetric models are purported to be able to capture leverage, the purpose … models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as capturing asymmetry, which is the different effects … on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and leverage, which is the negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491351
) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … effects of equal magnitude, and leverage, which refers to the negative correlation between the returns shocks and subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491406
) showed that asymmetry was possible for GJR, but not leverage. McAleer and Hafner showed that leverage was not possible for … is shown that, in practice, EGARCH always displays asymmetry, though not leverage. … by McAleer and Hafner (2014) to obtain EGARCH. These models can be used to capture asymmetry, which denotes the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819449
The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349233
We study whether and when parameter-driven time-varying parameter models lead to forecasting gains over observation-driven models. We consider dynamic count, intensity, duration, volatility and copula models, including new specifications that have not been studied earlier in the literature. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326198
The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420671