We propose a multivariate Bayesian state space model to identify potential growth and the output gap consistent with the dynamics of the underlying production sectors of the economy and those of inflation and the labor market. Our approach allows us to decompose economic fluctuations and...

This paper reconsiders the role of monetary policy in Sweden's strong recovery from the Great Depression. The Riksbank in the 1930s is sometimes seen as an example of a central bank that was relatively innovative in terms of the conduct of monetary policy. To consider this analytically, we...

In the process of economic development economies grow through various regimes, each characterized by different demographic-economic interactions. The changes in these interactions are key elements in different explanations of the escape from Malthusian stagnation. We employ time-varying vector...

In the process of economic development economies grow through various regimes, each characterized by different demographic-economic interactions. The changes in these interactions are key elements in different explanations of the escape from Malthusian stagnation. We employ time-varying vector...

Nicht zuletzt aufgrund der kürzlich in der Schweiz abgelehnten Vollgeldinitiative wird das Thema Geldschöpfung privater Geschäftsbanken auch außerhalb der Fachwelt in einer breiteren Öffentlichkeit diskutiert. Welche Chancen böte der Systemwechsel zu einem Vollgeldsystem? Und mit welchen...