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explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the … dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap, we apply the canonical contagion framework of Pesaran and Pick … [2007], similar to Metiu [2012], for daily data from January 2002 until May 2013. By adapting the contagion function used by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332634
debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries’ fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605670
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327794
European banks are exposed to a substantial amount of risky sovereign debt. The "missing bank capital" resulting from the zero-risk weight exemption for European banks for European sovereign debt amplifies the co-movement between sovereign CDS spreads and facilitates cross-border...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772329
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984861
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099207
We introduce a method for measuring default risk connectedness of euro zone sovereign states using credit default swap (CDS) and bond data. The connectedness measure is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. Due to its predictive nature, it can respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959466
This paper investigates contagion between bank risk and sovereign risk in Europe over the period 2006-2011. Since this … spillovers. We define contagion as excess correlation, i.e. correlation between banks and sovereigns over and above what is … of contagion by analyzing bank-specific as well as country-specific variables and their interaction. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506752
The theoretical literature remains inconclusive on whether changes in bank exposure towards the domestic sovereign have an adverse effect on the sovereign risk position via a diabolic loop in the sovereign-bank nexus or reduce perceived default risk by acting as a disciplinary device for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438993
The theoretical literature remains inconclusive on whether changes in bank exposure to the domestic sovereign have an adverse effect on the sovereign risk position through a diabolic loop in the sovereign-bank nexus, or reduce perceived default risk by acting as a disciplinary device for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485954