Showing 1 - 10 of 9,734
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our … standard limit distribution. The empirical results suggest that the US unemployment rate can be specified in terms of a … real interest rates). We also find evidence of a long-memory component. Our results are consistent with a hysteresis model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295392
The German unemployment rate shows strong signs if non-stationarity over the course of the previous decades. This is in … line with an insider-outsider model under full hysteresis. We applied a "theory-guided view" to the data using the … structural VAR model as developed by Balmaseda, Dolado and López-Salido (2000) allowing for full hysteresis on the labour market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260640
Recent empirical literature delivered, based on different structural VAR approaches, controversial results concerning the role of anticipated technology-news-shocks in business cycle fluctuations. We deal with this controversy and investigate (i) the extent to thich two prominent structural VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327791
target and unemployment around a long-run sustainable rate - has been justified as a way of reducing household indebtedness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427086
the unemployment rate. Our results are threefold. First, only a minor part of the rise in uncertainty measures during the … percentage point of the drop in GDP, macroeconomic uncertainty shocks increased the unemployment rate by up to 0.7 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427093
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390656
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441813
containing GDP, unemployment (or price), real wage and the real exchange rate, four structural shocks are identified; Velocity …, unemployment, price, real wage and the real exchange rate. The results are robust to alternative specifications of the model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967987
unemployment over the last two decades that persisted beyond the Great Recession. Our structural VAR approach encompasses various … for most of the observed unemployment decline. Wage moderation was most pronounced right after the implementation of Hartz ….e. within the monetary union. In contrast, the muted response of unemployment to the Great Recession was not significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099155
We study the effects of news shocks on inventory accumulation in a structural VAR framework. We establish that inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the transmission channel of news shocks to inventories works...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141092