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Suppose that we are searching for the maximum of many unknown and analytically untractable quantities or, say, the 'best alternative' among several candidates. If our decision is based on historical or simulated data there is some sort of selection bias and it is not evident if our choice is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304419
Investors need performance measures particularly as a means for funds selection in the process of exante portfolio optimization. Unfortunately, there are various performance measures recommended for different decision situations. Since an investor may be uncertain which kind of decision problem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307957
An intersection-union test for supporting the hypothesis that a given investment strategy is optimal among a set of alternatives is presented. It compares the Sharpe ratio of the benchmark with that of each other strategy. The intersection-union test takes serial dependence into account and does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996598
We propose the outperformance probability as a new performance measure, which can be used in order to compare a strategy with a specified benchmark, and develop the basic statistical properties of its maximum-likelihood estimator in a Brownian-motion framework. The given results are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611179
We study a principal-agent model in which the agent can provide ex post additional relevant information regarding his performance. In particular, he can provide a legitimate excuse, that is, evidence that a poor result is only due to factors outside his control. However, building a convincing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328856
distinguish between a negligence regime and strict liability. The results suggest that if there is no manipulation but only a lack …. While manipulation makes it easier for shareholders to escape liability under a negligence regime, shareholders suffer from … manipulation under strict liability due to higher actual pollution and higher expected damage compensation payments. Therefore, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509521
Recent research reveals that hedge fund returns exhibit a range of different,possibly non-linear pay-off patterns. It is difficult to qualify all these patternssimultaneously as being rational in a traditional framework for optimal financial decisionmaking. In this paper we present a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324945
This study investigates the impact of social pension insurance on the efficiency of household financial portfolios, utilizing data from the 2019 wave of the China Household Finance Survey. Our findings indicate that social pension insurance significantly enhances the efficiency of household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210910
This paper aims to develop a feasible estimator of the Sharpe ratio that the investor would expect from estimated efficient portfolios. Based on the analytical expression of the expected Sharpe ratio, we construct an estimator that captures all the errors involved in the estimated efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001458
This paper develops a dynamic portfolio selection model incorporating economic uncertainty for business cycles. It is assumed that the financial market at each point in time is defined by a hidden Markov model, which is characterized by the overall equity market returns and volatility. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332538