With lessons learned from previous episodes as well as substantial improvements in economic policies and fundamentals over the years emerging market economies (EMEs) on average are better positioned to withstand financial turbulences, both now and in the near future, than in the past. Since...

Researchers who estimate affine term structure models often impose overidentifying restrictions (restrictions on parameters beyond those necessary for identification) for a variety of reasons. While some of those restrictions seem to have minor effects on the extracted factors and some measures...

We estimate versions of the Nelson-Siegel model of the yield curve of U.S. government bonds using a Markov switching latent variable model that allows for discrete changes in the stochastic process followed by the interest rates. Our modelling approach is motivated by evidence suggesting the...