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as semiparametric time series models are evaluated in terms of fitting and ex ante forecasting. The overall impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
Engel and Rogers (1996) find that crossing the US-Canada border can considerably raise relative price volatility and that exchange rate fluctuations explain about one-third of the volatility increase. In re-evaluating the border effect, this study shows that cross-country heterogeneity in price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274494
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379941
The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120810
The current economic crisis has witnessed a strong deceleration in the growth of international trade. This has been even greater in the cases of the European Union and the eurozone, where the rates of export growth have even reached negative figures. In this paper, the authors examine to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160887
This study investigates the impacts of public expenditure innovations on exchange rate volatility in South Africa using quarterly data for the period 1970-2019. To achieve this objective, a version of the vector autoregressive impulse response model proposed by Jordà is employed and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651143
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604374
In this paper, we estimate the exchange rate exposure, indicating the effect of exchange rate movements on firm values, for a sample of 1,400 firms in seven East Asian countries. The exposure estimates based on various exchange rate variables, return horizons and a control variable are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015397938
What drives volatility in foreign exchange market in Pakistan? This paper undertakes an analysis of modelling exchange rate volatility in Pakistan by potential macroeconomic fundamentals well-known in the economic literature. For this, monthly data on Pak Rupee exchange rates in the terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610952
economy gradually, then order flow can have both explanatory and forecasting power for exchange rates. Using one year of high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143667