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' revealed aversion of them. Since most natural prospects permit at least some sample inference, accounting for their degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015202759
The social world is often portrayed as being less predictable and more uncertain than the nonsocial world. People may therefore feel the need to search more for information before making a choice. However, we suggest that cognitive tools such as social projection and norm‐based expectation may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368823
This research note is concerned with static choices between alternative mixtures of lotteries with one common mixture component and identical mixture weights. It is shown that the common component induces a conditional preference relation on the underlying lottery space with given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014504156
incentives, feedback for learning effects and a rational strategy of unbiased predictions. We introduce an experimental design … not influenced by learning effects, although feedback is provided. Our results support the assumption that biased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317868
We investigate how the anchoring effect-a well-established cognitive bias-influences the full distribution of subjective beliefs. While prior research extensively examines the impact of anchoring and other biases on point estimates, their effect on higher moments of the distribution remains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540518
Data on contestants' choices in Italian Game Show Affari Tuoi are analysed in a way that separates the effect of risk attitude (preferences) from that of beliefs concerning the amount of money that will be offered to contestants in future rounds. The most important issue addressed in the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272013
Gneezy, List and Wu [Q. J. Econ. 121 (2006) 1283-1309] document that lotteries are often valued less than the lotteries' worst outcomes. We show how to undo this result.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276435
We replicate three pricing tasks of Gneezy, List and Wu (2006) for which they document the so called uncertainty effect, namely that people value a binary lottery over non-monetary outcomes less than other people value the lottery's worse outcome. Unlike the authors who implement a verbal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276455
Often in cooperative situations, many aspects of the decision-making environment are uncertain. We investigate how cooperation is shaped by the way information about risk is presented (from description or from experience) and by differences in risky environments. Drawing on research from risky...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291829