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investigation of the volatility, VaR, and backtesting of the daily stock price of Total Nigeria Plc is important as most previous …This study investigates the volatility in daily stock returns for Total Nigeria Plc using nine variants of GARCH models … backtesting. We use daily data for Total Nigeria Plc returns for the period January 2, 2001 to May 8, 2017, and conclude that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602854
Most of the financial institutions compute the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of their trading portfolios using historical simulation-based methods. In this paper, we examine the Filtered Historical Simulation (FHS) model introduced by Barone-Adesi et al. (1999) theoretically and empirically. The main goal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610995
market was shown to react to news unequally. Volatility spikes sharply when unexpected adverse news reaches the market while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994283
We investigate the effect of estimation error on backtests of (multi-period) expected shortfall (ES) forecasts. These backtests are based on first order conditions of a recently introduced family of jointly consistent loss functions for Value-at-Risk (VaR) and ES. We provide explicit expressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114811
Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of … great importance to theorists and practitioners. Models used to estimate volatility forecasts are translated into better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994736
The paper shows the ways of disclosing financial risks by IFRS 7 and certain types of sensitivity analysis. The different possibilities of preparing a sensitivity analysis, such as value at risk are illustrated and their suitability for reporting are faced critically. Following, the manner of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299998
disclosure recommended by King IV and the level of risk governance maturity. This study was motivated by #Feesmustfall … disruptions, which pointed to the lack of effective risk management, preparedness for volatility and increased scrutiny by … stakeholders. A qualitative content analysis using a risk disclosure checklist was conducted on 18 annual reports and analyzed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611752
We examine the determinants of corporate speculation and challenge the extant, conflicting evidence. Separating risk management (reducing currency-specific FX exposure) from speculation (increasing or holding currency-specific FX exposure constant), we provide unprecedented evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688393
financial investments has been debated in the literature. In this study, we compare the volatility of rates of return of …, it is important to model and quantify it. The conditional volatility models from the GARCH family and tail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200911
One of the notable features of bitcoin is its extreme volatility. The modeling and forecasting of bitcoin volatility … volatility were founded on econometric models. Research on bitcoin volatility forecasting using machine learning algorithms is … bitcoin's return volatility and Value at Risk. The objective of this study is to compare their out-of-sample performance in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201021