We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given the past depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistently and use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional mean...

This paper proposes a unified approach to derive sharp bounds on all conventional policy parameters when the instrumental variables (IVs) are potentially invalid. Using a Vine Copula approach, we propose a novel characterization of the identified sets for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) and...

In this paper, we suggest and analyze a new class of specification tests for random coefficient models. These tests allow to assess the validity of central structural features of the model, in particular linearity in coefficients, generalizations of this notion like a known nonlinear functional...

In this paper, we suggest and analyze a new class of specification tests for random coefficient models. These tests allow to assess the validity of central structural features of the model, in particular linearity in coefficients and generalizations of this notion like a known nonlinear...

Pearson's chi-squared test for independence in two-way contingency tables is developed under the assumption of multinomial sampling. In this paper I consider the case where draws are not independent but exhibit serial dependence. I derive the asymptotic distribution and show that adjusting...

This study compares the size and power of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) tests that are robust to the presence of a misspecified conditional mean. The approaches employed are based on two nonparametric regressions for the conditional mean: an ARCH test with a...

It is often desired to rank different populations according to the value of some feature of each population. For example, it may be desired to rank neighborhoods according to some measure of intergenerational mobility or countries according to some measure of academic achievement. These rankings...

Beta-sorted portfolios - portfolios comprised of assets with similar covariation to selected risk factors - are a popular tool in empirical finance to analyze models of (conditional) expected returns. Despite their widespread use, little is known of their statistical properties in contrast to...

Market risk management is one of the key factors to success in managing financial institutions. Underestimated risk can have desastrous consequences for individual companies and even whole economies, not least as could be seen during the recent crises. Overestimated risk, on the other side, may...

We develop a new test of a parametric model of a conditional mean function against a nonparametric alternative. The test adapts to the unknown smoothness of the alternative model and is uniformly consistent against alternatives whose distance from the parametric model converges to zero at the...