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Empirical Relevance of the Hillman Condition and Comparative Advantage

Hinloopen, Jeroen; van Marrewijk, Charles - 2004

We analyze the empirical violation of the Hillman condition, a necessary and sufficient condition for the correspondence between comparative advantage and pre-trade relative prices. Our comprehensive data set allows us to investigate the Hillman condition for virtually all countries of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325500

Empirical Relevance of the Hillman Condition for Revealed Comparative Advantage: 10 Stylized Facts

Hinloopen, Jeroen; van Marrewijk, Charles - 2005

The theoretically necessary and sufficient condition for the correspondence between 'revealed'comparative advantage and pre-trade relative prices derived by Hillman (1980) is analyzed empricially for virtually all countries of the world over an extended period of time. This yields 10 stylized...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015435038

Daily tracker of global economic activity: A close-up of the COVID-19 pandemic

Diaz, Elena; Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel - 2020

forecasting stock returns, especially in emerging markets, and in predicting standard indicators of international business …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422167

Comparing China's GDP statistics with coincident indicators

Mehrotra, Aaron; Pääkkönen, Jenni - 2011

indicators for the Chinese economy. We compare the dynamics of the estimated factors with GDP, and compare our factors with other … published indicators for the Chinese economy. The indicator data match the GDP dynamics well and discrepancies are very short … for GDP itself nor various coincident indicators are able to forecast them satisfactorily. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148620

New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises

du Plessis, Emile; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2022

forecasting solutions. In this context, the paper develops new forecasting methods for an old problem by employing 13 machine … important variable. GDP per capita and consumer inflation have increased in prominence whereas debt-to-GDP, stock market and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368847

Testing Predicitive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators for the Euro Area

Ziegler, Christina - 2009

. Indicators arecompared by means of an in-sample and an out-of-sample forecasting experiment.Predictive accuracy is compared by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312099

Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production

Wohlrabe, Klaus; Carstensen, Kai; Ziegler, Christina - 2010

to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270748

Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the euro area industrial production

Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina - 2010

to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270868

Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions

Dovern, Jonas; Ziegler, Christina - 2008

forecasting exercises. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273164

What Determines the ZEW Indicator?

Hüfner, Felix P.; Lahl, David - 2003

This paper analyzes which factors are driving the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Using the results of a poll among survey participants as well as Granger causality tests we identify three groups of influence factors: other sentiment indicators, financial variables and real economy data. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297299