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's Republic of China (PRC). In particular, we investigate to what extent reforms pertaining to the financial sector, social … protection, and healthcare may contribute to a rebalancing of the PRC's persistent current account imbalances. Our forecasting …-funded healthcare are also found to contribute to a rebalancing of the PRC economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397354
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, the paper shows how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden … trade increases the likelihood of default. A sudden stop takes place when the borrowers reject the amount that lenders want …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278261
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in … problem that trade is endogenous. Using the gravity instrument for trade openness, which is constructed from geographical … determinants of bilateral trade, this paper finds that openness indeed makes countries less vulnerable, both to severe sudden stops …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278282
On February 12, 2010, SUERF, the Oesterreichische Nationalbank and the Bankwissenschaftliche Gesellschaft continued their established tradition of jointly organised conferences. As evidenced also by the 115 conference participants, this year's subject of "Contagion and Spillovers – New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689946
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, I show how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden stops. In … debt is more attractive. Therefore, conditional on the amount that lenders are willing to loan, decreased exposure to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397715
switching channel. Pricing exports in the dominant vs. producer currency mutes the effect of DCF on trade. …We propose a new channel through which exchange rates affect trade. Exploiting the heterogeneity in firms' foreign … to higher delinquencies and interest rates, while exports are unaffected. Natural and financial hedging successfully mute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377488
relationship between the concentration of exports in commodities and appreciation of the real exchange rate. We constructed an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372184
After computing the Gini and Herfindahl-Hirschman indexes for exports and imports partner concentration for a set of 31 … partner concentration (diversification) of exports and imports. From our analysis, we disentangle different effects, namely … that while global GDP leads to an increase in concentration in both exports and imports, internal rates of return increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015175228
Given that the value of China s currency has been hot topic recently, this paper explores the equilibrium levels of … China s real and nominal exchange rates.Employing a Johansen cointegration framework, we focus on the behavioral equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148475
In recent years China has experienced two forms of extreme macroeconomic imbalance: an expenditure imbalance in the …; risk of capital loss on the foreign exchange holdings; and the threat of re-taliation by China's trading partners. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148634