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time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns … restrict consideration to learning schemes that imply only small deviations from full rationality. The findings are robust to … the particular learning rule used and the value chosen for the single free parameter introduced by learning, provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604908
expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits … approximated by a representative-agent model with constant-gain learning, where the gain parameter is related to the survival rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad-hoc specifications others are derived from a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297345
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad-hoc specifications others are derived from a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298005
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325397
Investors in equilibrium are modeled as facing investor specific risks across the space of assets. Personalized asset pricing models reflect these risks. Averaging across the pool of investors we obtain a market asset pricing model that reflects market risk exposures. It is observed on invoking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290440
This essay looks at the bidirectional relationship between financial history and financial economics. It begins by giving a brief history of financial economics by outlining the main topics of interest to financial economists. It then documents and explains the increasing influence of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352024
We combine general equilibrium theory and théorie générale of stochastic processes to derive structural results about equilibrium state prices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272583
Does the presence of arbitrageurs decrease equilibrium asset price volatility? I study an economy with arbitrageurs, informed investors, and noise traders. Arbitrageurs face a trade-off between arbitrage and inference: they would like to buy assets in response to temporary price declines (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283435
This paper presents theoretical models and their empirical results for the return and variance dynamics of German stocks. A factor structure is used in order to allow for a parsimonious modeling of the first two moments of returns. Dynamic factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435583