Showing 1 - 10 of 76
This paper establishes a selection of stylized facts for high-frequency cointegrated processes, based on one-minute-binned transaction data. A methodology is introduced to simulate cointegrated stock pairs, following none, some or all of these stylized facts. AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843285
The environmental Kuznets curve predicts an inverted U-shaped relationship between air pollution and economic growth. Current analyses frequently employ models that restrict nonlinearities in the data to be explained by economic growth only. We propose a Global Trend Augmented Cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014321767
We study a set of fully modified (FM) estimators in multivariate cointegrating polynomial regressions. Such regressions allow for deterministic trends, stochastic trends, and integer powers of stochastic trends to enter the cointegrating relations. A new feasible generalized least squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014321768
Balanced experimental designs, in which the number of treatment and control units are the same, do not maximize power subject to a cost constraint when treat-ment units are more expensive than control ones. Despite this, such balanced designs are the norm in economics. This paper describes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013479046
The U.S. Supreme Court decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization sparked the most profound transformation of the landscape of abortion access in 50 years. We provide the first estimates of the effects of this decision on fertility using a pre-registered synthetic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469766
Basic methods to compute the required sample size are well understood and supported by widely available software. However, the sophistication of the sample size methods commonly used has not kept pace with the complexity of the experimental designs most often employed in practice. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335613
You want to run an experiment where you anticipate finding a treatment effect. How large should your sample size be to have a reasonable chance of detecting significant results? In this manuscript, I present and explain the Stata code I use to address this question. The code uses simulations to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015054279
Filtering intraday seasonality in volatility is crucial for using high frequency data in econometric analysis. This paper studies the effects of filtering on statistical inference concerning the impact of news on exchange rate volatility. The properties of different methods are studied using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148012
Weekly, quarterly and yearly risk measures are crucial for risk reporting according to Basel III and Solvency II. For the respective data frequencies, the authors show in a simulation and backtest study that available data series are not sufficient in order to estimate Value at Risk and Expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433217
In this paper, we employ 99% intraday value-at-risk (VaR) and intraday expected shortfall (ES) as risk metrics to assess the competency of the Multiplicative Component Generalised Autoregressive Heteroskedasticity (MC-GARCH) models based on the 1-min EUR/USD exchange rate returns. Five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200428