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A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of t by Importance Sampling and Expectation Maximization …, we introduce a permutation-augmented MitISEM approach, for importance sampling from posterior distributions in mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325702
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … between target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of t by Importance Sampling and Expectation … Importance Sampling (IS) or the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) method. We also introduce three extensions of the basic MitISEM approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326223
in a Bayesian framework. This consists of a new adaptive importance sampling method for Quantile Estimation via Rapid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326078
approximation can be used as a candidate density in Importance Sampling or Metropolis Hastings methods for Bayesian inference on … model parameters and probabilities. The package provides also an extended MitISEM algorithm, 'sequential MitISEM', which … predictive likelihoods. We illustrate the MitISEM algorithm using three canonical statistical and econometric models that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326521
Accurate prediction of risk measures such as Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) requires precise estimation of the tail of the predictive distribution. Two novel concepts are introduced that offer a specific focus on this part of the predictive density: the censored posterior, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326148
used in importance sampling for model estimation, model selection and model combination. The procedure is fully automatic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325655
-rejection sampling step within DMC. This Acceptance-Rejection within Direct Monte Carlo (ARDMC) method has the attractive property that …-known 'Metropolis-Hastings within Gibbs' sampling in the sense that one 'more difficult' step is used within an 'easier' simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326354
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326499
regressors. An Approximate DMC (ADMC) approach is introduced thatmakes use of the proposed Hybrid Mixture Sampling (HMS) method …, which facilitates Metropolis-Hastings (MH) or Importance Sampling from a proper marginalposterior density with highly non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326547
the tedious task of tuning a MCMC sampling algorithm. The usage of the package is shown in an empirical application to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325986