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This paper addresses some issues concerning the definition and measurement of inflation persistence in the context of … assumption for the long run level of inflation and that such long run level should be allowed to vary through time. Second, a non …-parametric measure of persistence is suggested which explores the relation between persistence and mean reversion. Third, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604417
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604831
This paper investigates persistence of Swiss consumer price inflation using aggregate and disaggregate inflation data … covering 1983-2008. We document that persistence of sectoral inflation rates is below persistence of aggregate inflation. Our … main finding is that inflation persistence significantly declines in the early 1990s. An estimated factor model reveals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285847
This paper analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15, the euro area and each of its member states using … moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. For most price indices we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis …, as well as the notion of disaggregate inflation exhibiting a high degree of persistence. Durable goods and services tend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604461
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422228
importance of modelling a system that includes the forcing variables as well as the rate of inflation is emphasized. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284235
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267287
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295799