attain local stationarity and bounded mean values. The model is applied to the analysis of inflation dynamics. Allowing for …

local stationarity and bounded mean values. The model is applied to the analysis of inflation dynamics with the following … using the US CPI inflation rate and are confirmed by other inflation indicators, as well as for CPI inflation of the other G …

This paper discusses the likely evolution of U.S. inflation in the near and medium term on the basis of (1) past U ….S. experience with very low levels of inflation, (2) the most recent Japanese experience with deflation, and (3) recent U.S. micro … evidence on downward nominal wage rigidity. Our findings question the view that stable long-run inflation expectations and …

assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer … Survey data. The results suggest that expectations drive inflation with a lag of about 6 months, which casts further doubt on …

breaks in the performance of most simple Phillips curves. Euro area inflation was particularly hard to forecast in the run … practitioners, we find that: (i) the key type of time variation to consider is an inflation trend; (ii) a simple filter-based output …

In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … forecasting models from among the different candidates. I find that VAR_m2 is the best monthly model to forecast inflation in …

ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …

ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …