Household borrowing in China has increased considerably in recent years, raising concerns about the household sector's vulnerability and implications for the stability of the financial system. We construct a number of granular debt-burden indicators at the level of individual Chinese households...

​Persistent producer price deflation in China and other Asian economies has become a genuine concern for policymakers. In June 2016, China's producer prices were down 12.7 percent from their peak in 2011, following a 52-month stretch of consecutive negative producer price readings (March 2012...

This paper discusses the macroeconomic effects of China's informal banking regulatory tool "win-dow guidance," introduced in 1998. Using an open-economy DSGE model that includes the com-mercial banking sector, we study the stabilizing effects of this non-standard quantitative monetary policy...

In line with the deepening of the derivative foreign-exchange market in Hong Kong, we recover risk-neutral probability densities for future US dollar/offshore renminbi exchange rates as implied by exchange rate option prices. The risk-neutral densities (RND) approach is shown to be useful in...

The recent increase in China's house prices at the national level masks tremendous variation at the city level – a feature largely overlooked in the macroprudential literature. This paper considers the evolving heterogeneity in China's house price dynamics across 70 cities and assess the main...

The recent upgrade of the People's Bank of China's monetary policy framework establishes a corridor system of interest rates. As the revamped policy arrangement now features a multiple-instrument mix of liquidity tools and pricing signals, we employ a dynamic factor modelling approach to derive...

This paper studies monetary policy transmission in China's peer-to-peer lending market. Using spectral measures of causality, we explore the impacts of Chinese monetary policy shocks on China's P2P market interest rates and lending amounts. The estimation results indicate significant spectral...

The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has taken numerous measures to cushion the impacts of the COVID-19 health crisis on the Chinese economy. As the current monetary policy framework features a multi-instrument mix of liquidity tools and pricing signals, we employ a dynamic-factor modeling approach...

We analyse volatility spillovers between the on- and offshore (CNY and CNH) Renminbi exchange rates towards the US dollar (USD). The volatility impulse response (VIRF) methodology introduced by Hafner and Herwatz (2006) is applied to several shocks between January 2012 and December 2019....

The recent update of the People’s Bank of China’s monetary policy framework establishes a corridor system of interest rates. We employ a dynamic factor modelling approach to derive an indicator of China’s monetary policy stance. The approach is based on the notion that co-movements in...