This paper contributes to the literature on the estimation of causal effects by providing an analytical formula for individual specific treatment effects and an empirical methodology that allows us to estimate these effects. We derive the formula from a general model with minimal restrictions,...

The method of instrumental variables (IV) and the generalized method of moments (GMM), and their applications to the estimation of errors-in-variables and simultaneous equations models in econometrics, require data on a sufficient number of instrumental variables that are both exogenous and...

We develop a procedure for removing four major specification errors from the usual formulation of binary choice models. The model that results from this procedure is different from the conventional probit and logit models. This difference arises as a direct consequence of our relaxation of the...

Conditionality is at the very heart of IMF lending and has been the subject of intense debates ever since the Fund's inception. Its success is of crucial importance not only for countries' chances of achieving the goals of IMF lending programmes, but also for the credibility of the Fund as a...

In this paper we construct Financial Conditions Indices (FCIs) for the euro area, for the period 2003 to 2011, using a wide range of prices, quantities, spreads and survey data, grounded in the theoretical literature. One FCI includes monetary policy variables, while two versions without...

This paper investigates the determinants of takeovers in a large sample of UK quoted companies. We focus on the channels through which the market for corporate control monitors company performance and discretionary managerial behaviour. Our results indicate that the market for corporate control...

The primary purpose of this paper is to investigate whether companies can use acquisition as a strategy to reduce their probability of takeover. A subsidiary issue is whether such a strategy has any impact on their subsequent probability of bankruptcy. The determinants of making an acquisition,...

Die Wirksamkeit der Wirtschaftspolitik in der Hickschen Analyse: Eine Vertiefung Die Schnelligkeit, mit der die Makropolitik Einfluß auf die Konjunktur ausübt, ist eine Schlüsselbetrachtung in gegenwärtigen politischen Diskussionen. Bliner und Solow argumentieren: "Die Hauptstreitpunkte der...

Die Wirksamkeit der Wirtschaftspolitik in der Hicksschen Analyse: Eine Erwiderung Es ist bereits gezeigt worden, daß - in einem System positiv geneigter IS-Kurven - je geringer die Zinsempfindlichkeit der Geldnachfrage ist, desto größer die Geschwindigkeit der Anpassung an exogene...