Showing 1 - 10 of 19,185
In all investment decisions it is important to determine the degree of uncertainty associated with the valuation of a company. We propose an original and robust methodology to company valuation which replaces the traditional point estimate of the conventional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389331
This paper presents two stocks recommendation systems based on a stochastic characterization of firm present value that extends the conventional discounted cash flow analysis. In the Single-Stock Quantile recommendation system, the market price of a company's stocks is compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389333
Probabilities of default (PDs) of loans are of central importance for financial stability. We analyze the PDs, reported quarterly by German financial institutions to Deutsche Bundesbank. The development of PDs is modelled as an AR process of PD changes and an initial PD. Panel regressions show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015051023
risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models … to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and … estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing sensibly from a variety of risk models, discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326056
In this paper we provide further evidence on the suitability of the median of the point VaR forecasts of a set of models as a GFC-robust strategy by using an additional set of new extreme value forecasting models and by extending the sample period for comparison. These extreme value models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326321
risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models … to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and … estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing from a variety of risk models, and discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326358
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) (2013) recently proposed shifting the quantitative risk metrics … system from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to Expected Shortfall (ES). The BCBS (2013) noted that "a number of weaknesses have been … identified with using VaR for determining regulatory capital requirements, including its inability to capture tail risk" (p. 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288403
Bank risk managers follow the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) recommendations that recently proposed … shifting the quantitative risk metrics system from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to Expected Shortfall (ES). The Basel Committee on … regulatory capital requirements, including its inability to capture tail risk”. The proposed reform costs and impact on bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451509
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030917
analysis of the economic value shows that risk-averse investors will be willing to pay a high performance fee to switch from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611022