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This paper is concerned with the study of Bayesian inference procedures to commonly used time series models. In … are analytically integrated and hyperparameters are integrated by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Credibility regions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234118
Space-varying regression models are generalizations of standard linear models where the regression coefficients are allowed to change in space. The spatial structure is specified by a multivariate extension of pairwise difference priors thus enabling incorporation of neighboring structures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234115
This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325986
-1980s. Using Bayesian methods, we analyze whether a volatility reduction can also be detected for the German GDP. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296255
This paper provides a structural empirical analysis of Dutch auctions of houseplants at the flower auction in Aalsmeer, the Netherlands. The data set is unique for Dutch auctions in the sense that it includes observations of all losing bids in an interval adjacent to the winning bid. The size of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325217
Two econometric issues arise in the estimation of complete systems of producer or consumer demands when many non-negativity constraints are binding for a large share of observations, as frequently occurs with micro-level data. The first is computational. The econometric model is essentially an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420241
of the volatility parameter for an asset using methods of the Bayesian approach to statistics. As prior distributions for … the Bayesian paradigm, allowed to obtain more adjusted and precise volatility parameter estimations, when in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494469
Most papers in the portfolio choice literature have examined linear predictability frameworks based on the idea that simple but flexible Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models can be expanded to produce portfolio allocations that hedge against the bull and bear dynamics typical of financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409436
This paper investigates the effects of public investment in infrastructure on private output for Germany. Using a multivariate framework we explore the impact of a diverging selection of variables on the ensuing estimates and document confidence intervals computed following the bootstrap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531595
In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To investigate the forecasting performance of the models, two naive benchmark models (one is a variant of a random walk and the other is an autoregressive model) are first built based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663290