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We examine the effect of pandemics on selected commodity prices-in particular, those of zinc, copper, lead, and oil. We set up a vector autoregressive model and analyse data since the mid-nineteenth century to determine how prices reacted to pandemics such as the 1918 Spanish Flu, 1957 Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424144
forecast subsequent gold volatility. We account not only for geopolitical threats and acts, but also for 39 country …-specific sources of geopolitical risk. The response of subsequent volatility is heterogeneous across countries and nonlinear. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015198557
electrification of global economies. However, their markets are characterized by high price volatility due to supply concentration …, low substitutability, and limited price elasticity. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the price volatility … visualization methods, we identify key features for accurate point and density forecasts. We evaluate various volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210001
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451175
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526115
forecast subsequent gold volatility. We account not only for geopolitical threats and acts, but also for 39 country …-specific sources of geopolitical risk. The response of subsequent volatility is heterogeneous across countries and nonlinear. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015403584
This paper uses fractional integration methods to examine persistence, trends and structural breaks in US house prices … structural breaks is taken into account, segmented trends are detected; the subsample estimates of the fractional differencing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290053
significant downward trends indicating a decline over time in the degree of pollution in Chinese cities. It is also interesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290071
This paper examines trends and persistence in the Greenland ice sheet mass by applying fractional integration methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377530
fact around 1 in all specified models, which implies a high degree of persistence of this component. Finally, the order of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469660